Happy holidays to everyone! I appreciate all the feedback on
my previous post “5 things to know before choosing a residency program”. Many
people have been asking questions about the basic process of applying for
residency. Answering this question is very challenging for me, especially since the landscape has changed significantly since the year I applied. For example, many community programs stopped offering ‘prematch’
positions for independent applicants after 2012.
PGY-1 positions have never been more competitive. According
to the most
recent NRMP match data, 34,270 applicants competed for 26,678 positions in
2014. Between 1999 and 2004, there was a 14.6% increase in applicants, and a 19%
increase in PGY-1 residency positions. Although the percentages may look great,
the numbers show that applicant growth actually exceeded positions available by
131 in the last 5 years.
What factors determine one’s chances of matching? Let’s
crunch some more interesting NRMP stats. In 2014, only about 50% of
International Medical Graduates (IMGs) matched, compared to a 94% match rate
for US seniors. A US senior that ranked 10 programs would have a 99% chance of
matching if he applied to Internal Medicine (IM) and an 88% chance if they were
all General Surgery programs. An IMG had a 90% or 59% chance if he ranked 10
programs in IM or General Surgery respectively.
The disparities are even more glaring when you consider the USMLE scores. A US senior with a Step 1 score of 220 had a 96% chance of matching. Conversely, an independent applicant with a similar score had only a 50% chance of matching. A score of 240 would improve would only improve his odds of matching to 73%. Although the USMLE scores are very important (probably the most important), there are many other factors that are important for matching, including publications or presentations, year of graduation and clinical experience for IMGs, additional degrees etc.
The statistics above show that matching for IMGs is very daunting.
Do you really need 10 interviews to be guaranteed a high likelihood of matching?
By playing the odds, yeah. But how many IMGs get 5, let alone 10 interviews?
Obviously, any IMG with 10 interviews has a very competitive profile and would
likely match. The reality is that many IMGs, because they don’t have US
clinical experience will be sidelined by most programs. I was in a similar
situation 3 years ago, and I had to rank only 6 programs.
Here’s the bottom line: You need to get interviews in order to match. Doing well at the interview is the key to matching, but that’s not the focus of this article. Your application needs to beat the filters that programs have created before you can be considered for an interview. I asked my program director about filters, and he said that it was the most efficient way of selecting the 300 applicants he needed from a pool of 4,000 applications.
Part II of this article will explain the basics of residency application, and common pitfalls to avoid. Keep it locked on for updates.